Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 13:49 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXFEDMENTION-26OCT
As of September 25, 2026 at 13:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Central Bank at 90%, followed by Good Day at 88%, Restrictive at 84%. 39.6K contracts have traded, 22.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Bank | 90% | +4 pts | 4.5K | 3.5K |
| Good Day | 88% | -1 pts | 2.7K | 1.5K |
| Restrictive | 84% | · | 119 | 91 |
| Independent / Independence | 70% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Inflation Expectation | 68% | · | 300 | 150 |
| Anchor / Anchored | 66% | · | 745 | 745 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 66% | -22 pts | 5.3K | 4.6K |
| Shock | 64% | · | 3.6K | 3.0K |
| Uncertainty | 62% | · | 3.2K | 2.7K |
| Geopolitical | 60% | · | 434 | 434 |
| Oil | 56% | +15 pts | 124 | 121 |
| President | 56% | · | 100 | 63 |
| Balance Sheet | 52% | · | 300 | 300 |
| Credit | 48% | -25 pts | 10.7K | 7.6K |
| Productivity | 48% | · | 2.9K | 2.2K |
| Commodity | 44% | · | 333 | 333 |
| Projection | 43% | +24 pts | 1.3K | 875 |
| Family Fight / Family Feud | 40% | · | 76 | 74 |
| Dollar | 36% | -1 pts | 201 | 192 |
| Unchanged | 34% | · | 511 | 452 |
27 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Central Bank ■ Good Day ■ Restrictive · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 25, 2026 at 13:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Central Bank at 90%, followed by Good Day at 88%, Restrictive at 84%. 39.6K contracts have traded, 22.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 29, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/">What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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APA
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 13:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillkevinwarshsayduringhisoctoberpressconference, title = {What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 13:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/}}HTML credit
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