What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXFEDMENTION-26OCT
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Central Bank at 90%, followed by Good Day at 87%, Restrictive at 81%. 56.7K contracts have traded, 138 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Central Bank ■ Good Day ■ Restrictive · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.”
What are the Kalshi odds for What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Central Bank at 90%, followed by Good Day at 87%, Restrictive at 81%. 56.7K contracts have traded, 138 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference market close?
The listed close date is October 29, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillkevinwarshsayduringhisoctoberpressconference, title = {What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-october-press-conference/}}
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