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What will JD Vance say during the MAHA Summit? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXVANCEMENTION-26SEP29

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is AI / Artificial Intelligence at 100%, followed by Fraud at 100%, Obama / Obamacare at 100%. 48.4K contracts have traded, 48.2K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
AI / Artificial Intelligence100%
+57 pts8.0K4.8K
Fraud100%
·3.9K3.1K
Obama / Obamacare100%
·2.3K1.6K
Cancer100%
·1.7K1.2K
Afford / Affordable / Affordability100%
·1.6K1.2K
Biden100%
·1.6K1.2K
Democrat100%
·1.4K1.2K
Healthcare100%
·1.4K1.2K
Medicare / Medicaid100%
·880734
Event does not qualify1.0%
·6.8K6.6K
Autism / Autistic1.0%
·4.6K3.3K
Chronic Disease1.0%
-59 pts3.6K2.5K
Trump (3+ times)1.0%
·3.0K2.2K
Pharma / Pharmaceutical1.0%
-39 pts2.7K1.9K
GLP-1 / GLP 11.0%
-31 pts1.4K1.2K
TrumpRX1.0%
-53 pts1.3K1.0K
Obese / Obesity1.0%
·1.2K887
2028 / Campaign1.0%
·1.0K825

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If JD Vance says TrumpRX as part of MAHA Summit: In Conversation: Vice President JD Vance & Sec. Kennedy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the MAHA Summit: In Conversation: Vice President JD Vance & Sec. Kennedy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MAHA Summit: In Conversation: Vice President JD Vance & Sec. Kennedy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies …”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for What will JD Vance say during the MAHA Summit?

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is AI / Artificial Intelligence at 100%, followed by Fraud at 100%, Obama / Obamacare at 100%. 48.4K contracts have traded, 48.2K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the What will JD Vance say during the MAHA Summit market close?

The listed close date is October 13, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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What will JD Vance say during the MAHA Summit? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-the-maha-summit/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwilljdvancesayduringthemahasummit, title = {What will JD Vance say during the MAHA Summit? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-the-maha-summit/}}

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