What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT15
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Democrat at 98%, followed by Biden at 92%, Election at 91%. 52.8K contracts have traded, 42.7K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Democrat ■ Biden ■ Election · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If JD Vance says Democrat as part of Midterm Rally in Monroe, Michigan originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Monroe, Michigan originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Monroe, Michigan originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence …”
What are the Kalshi odds for What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan?
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Democrat at 98%, followed by Biden at 92%, Election at 91%. 52.8K contracts have traded, 42.7K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan market close?
The listed close date is October 29, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-rally-in-michigan/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwilljdvancesayduringhisrallyinmichigan, title = {What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 16:28 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-his-rally-in-michigan/}}
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