What will Apple say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXEARNINGSMENTIONAAPL-26OCT29
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Siri at 88%, followed by iPhone 18 at 87%, Manufacturing at 86%. 43.2K contracts have traded, 147 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Siri ■ iPhone 18 ■ Manufacturing · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Apple Pay is said by any Apple representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Apple earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Apple earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Apple earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
What are the Kalshi odds for What will Apple say during their next earnings call?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Siri at 88%, followed by iPhone 18 at 87%, Manufacturing at 86%. 43.2K contracts have traded, 147 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the What will Apple say during their next earnings call market close?
The listed close date is November 12, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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What will Apple say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-apple-say-during-their-next-earnings-call/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillapplesayduringtheirnextearningscall, title = {What will Apple say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-apple-say-during-their-next-earnings-call/}}
