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What will Apple say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXEARNINGSMENTIONAAPL-26OCT29

As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is iPhone 18 at 94%, followed by Siri at 92%, Tariff at 89%. 45.6K contracts have traded, 213 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
iPhone 1894%
·12.8K10.2K
Siri92%
·7.9K6.9K
Tariff89%
·9.3K8.0K
Manufacturing84%
·7.9K6.9K
Mac Studio83%
-3 pts329101
Formula 1 / F178%
·00
Apple Pay74%
·5956
Private Cloud Compute72%
·33
Sport70%
·00
Fold / Folding / Foldable60%
-1 pts6.5K4.4K
Creator Studio58%
-2 pts11644
Broadcom36%
·645621
Streaming18%
·6868
Gemini17%
·00
OpenAI / ChatGPT16%
·1313
Liquid Glass10%
·2626
Widget7.5%
·4443

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Oct 6

■ iPhone 18 ■ Siri ■ Tariff · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Apple Pay is said by any Apple representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Apple earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Apple earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Apple earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Mentions markets

More on this topic: Apple odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for What will Apple say during their next earnings call?

As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is iPhone 18 at 94%, followed by Siri at 92%, Tariff at 89%. 45.6K contracts have traded, 213 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the What will Apple say during their next earnings call market close?

The listed close date is November 12, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

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APA

What will Apple say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-apple-say-during-their-next-earnings-call/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillapplesayduringtheirnextearningscall, title = {What will Apple say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-apple-say-during-their-next-earnings-call/}}

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