Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXEARNINGSMENTIONAMZN-26OCT29
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Tariff at 96%, followed by Bedrock at 94%, Trainium at 89%. 40.7K contracts have traded, 1.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | 96% | · | 1.4K | 1.2K |
| Bedrock | 94% | · | 345 | 343 |
| Trainium | 89% | +31 pts | 4.6K | 3.3K |
| Anthropic / Claude | 87% | +1 pts | 5.2K | 4.4K |
| Graviton | 84% | · | 4.0K | 2.9K |
| Alexa+ / Alexa Plus | 84% | +9 pts | 4.1K | 2.8K |
| Prime Day | 83% | · | 1.8K | 1.6K |
| Live Sports | 80% | · | 4.1K | 2.5K |
| Gen AI / Generative AI | 77% | +15 pts | 5.8K | 5.0K |
| NVIDIA | 76% | · | 1.7K | 1.3K |
| OpenAI | 74% | · | 1.3K | 1.3K |
| Supply Chain | 70% | · | 4 | 4 |
| Continuum | 66% | +2 pts | 19 | 9 |
| Sponsored Products | 66% | · | 4 | 4 |
| Robotic / Robotics | 65% | -18 pts | 5.0K | 3.6K |
| Third Party Seller | 57% | -15 pts | 572 | 343 |
| Snowflake | 42% | -57 pts | 162 | 109 |
| 36% | · | 0 | 0 | |
| Iran / Middle East | 30% | -50 pts | 150 | 112 |
| China | 28% | · | 40 | 40 |
2 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Tariff ■ Bedrock ■ Trainium · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Drone is said by any Amazon representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Amazon earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Amazon earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Amazon earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Tariff at 96%, followed by Bedrock at 94%, Trainium at 89%. 40.7K contracts have traded, 1.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is March 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillamazonsayduringtheirnextearningscall, title = {What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-amazon-say-during-their-next-earnings-call/}}HTML credit
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