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What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXEARNINGSMENTIONAMZN-26OCT29

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Tariff at 96%, followed by Bedrock at 94%, Trainium at 89%. 40.7K contracts have traded, 1.6K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Tariff96%
·1.4K1.2K
Bedrock94%
·345343
Trainium89%
+31 pts4.6K3.3K
Anthropic / Claude87%
+1 pts5.2K4.4K
Graviton84%
·4.0K2.9K
Alexa+ / Alexa Plus84%
+9 pts4.1K2.8K
Prime Day83%
·1.8K1.6K
Live Sports80%
·4.1K2.5K
Gen AI / Generative AI77%
+15 pts5.8K5.0K
NVIDIA76%
·1.7K1.3K
OpenAI74%
·1.3K1.3K
Supply Chain70%
·44
Continuum66%
+2 pts199
Sponsored Products66%
·44
Robotic / Robotics65%
-18 pts5.0K3.6K
Third Party Seller57%
-15 pts572343
Snowflake42%
-57 pts162109
Pinterest36%
·00
Iran / Middle East30%
-50 pts150112
China28%
·4040

2 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 29

■ Tariff ■ Bedrock ■ Trainium · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Drone is said by any Amazon representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Amazon earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Amazon earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Amazon earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Mentions markets

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Tariff at 96%, followed by Bedrock at 94%, Trainium at 89%. 40.7K contracts have traded, 1.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the What will Amazon say during their next earnings call market close?

The listed close date is March 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

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APA

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-amazon-say-during-their-next-earnings-call/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillamazonsayduringtheirnextearningscall, title = {What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-amazon-say-during-their-next-earnings-call/}}

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