Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Mentions · Event KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26OCT05
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Iran / Iranian at 100%, followed by Afford / Affordable / Affordability at 100%, Billionaire at 100%. 28.8K contracts have traded, 27.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | 100% | +38 pts | 3.1K | 2.0K |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 100% | +16 pts | 2.5K | 1.6K |
| Billionaire | 100% | +40 pts | 2.5K | 2.0K |
| AIPAC | 100% | +62 pts | 2.5K | 2.0K |
| Tariff | 100% | +17 pts | 2.0K | 1.2K |
| Trump | 100% | +13 pts | 1.9K | 1.5K |
| Healthcare | 100% | +12 pts | 1.4K | 1.3K |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 1.0% | · | 3.9K | 3.6K |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 1.0% | -38 pts | 2.2K | 2.0K |
| Israel / Israeli | 1.0% | -52 pts | 1.8K | 1.6K |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | · | 1.6K | 1.3K |
| Data Center | 1.0% | -40 pts | 1.4K | 1.1K |
| Event does not qualify | 1.0% | -1 pts | 922 | 879 |
| Elon / Musk | 1.0% | · | 691 | 542 |
| Filibuster | 1.0% | -40 pts | 544 | 536 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Abdul El-Sayed says Trump as part of Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Abdul El-Sayed speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Iran / Iranian at 100%, followed by Afford / Affordable / Affordability at 100%, Billionaire at 100%. 28.8K contracts have traded, 27.5K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 19, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-abdul-el-sayed-say-during-fox-news-the-story-with-martha-maccallum/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillabdulelsayedsayduringfoxnewsthestorywithmarthamaccallum, title = {What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-abdul-el-sayed-say-during-fox-news-the-story-with-martha-maccallum/}}HTML credit
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