Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXMLBMATCHUP-TB1ST26
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is New York Y at 58%, followed by Boston at 42%, Toronto at 12%. 31.0K contracts have traded, 25.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Y | 58% | -4 pts | 22.2K | 21.8K |
| Boston | 42% | +1 pts | 8.5K | 7.7K |
| Toronto | 12% | · | 39 | 39 |
| Chicago WS | 8.0% | · | 300 | 300 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ New York Y ■ Boston · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If New York Y is scheduled to play against Tampa Bay in Tampa Bay's first playoff series in the 2026 Pro Baseball playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the opponent in Tampa Bay's first playoff series in the 2026 Pro Baseball playoffs, whether that series is the Wild Card Series or the Divisional Series. If Tampa Bay does not qualify for the 2026 Pro Baseball playoffs, "No Team" resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is New York Y at 58%, followed by Boston at 42%, Toronto at 12%. 31.0K contracts have traded, 25.5K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 8, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/tampa-bay-first-playoff-opponent/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Tampa Bay: First Playoff Opponent Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/tampa-bay-first-playoff-opponent/">Tampa Bay: First Playoff Opponent odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Tampa Bay: First Playoff Opponent: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/tampa-bay-first-playoff-opponent/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstampabayfirstplayoffopponent, title = {Tampa Bay: First Playoff Opponent: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/tampa-bay-first-playoff-opponent/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/tampa-bay-first-playoff-opponent/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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