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South Point 400 Winner: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNASCARRACE-SOUP26
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Kyle Larson at 18%, followed by Denny Hamlin at 16%, Christopher Bell at 10%. 67.0K contracts have traded, 64.2K in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|
| Kyle Larson | 18% | -2 pts | 6.0K | 6.0K |
| Denny Hamlin | 16% | · | 4.7K | 4.7K |
| Christopher Bell | 10% | -3 pts | 4.3K | 4.3K |
| Michael McDowell | 10% | · | 2 | 2 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 10% | · | 2 | 2 |
| Noah Gragson | 10% | · | 2 | 2 |
| Chase Briscoe | 9.0% | · | 4.0K | 4.0K |
| Tyler Reddick | 8.5% | · | 3.3K | 3.3K |
| William Byron | 6.0% | -4 pts | 3.4K | 3.4K |
| Ty Gibbs | 5.5% | -1 pts | 3.3K | 3.3K |
| Joey Logano | 5.5% | -2 pts | 2.2K | 2.2K |
| Ryan Blaney | 5.0% | -2 pts | 2.0K | 2.0K |
| Chase Elliott | 3.5% | -2 pts | 3.0K | 2.6K |
| Bubba Wallace | 3.5% | · | 1.3K | 1.3K |
| Carson Hocevar | 3.5% | -1 pts | 944 | 909 |
| Austin Cindric | 2.5% | · | 13.8K | 13.8K |
| Ross Chastain | 2.0% | · | 1.1K | 1.1K |
| Chris Buescher | 1.5% | · | 1.0K | 1.0K |
| Brad Keselowski | 1.5% | · | 1.0K | 1.0K |
| Ryan Preece | 1.5% | · | 1.0K | 1.0K |
10 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Brad Keselowski finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 South Point 400 originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If || Competitor || retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. If Brad Keselowski retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for South Point 400 Winner?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Kyle Larson at 18%, followed by Denny Hamlin at 16%, Christopher Bell at 10%. 67.0K contracts have traded, 64.2K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the South Point 400 Winner market close?
The listed close date is October 12, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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APA
South Point 400 Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/south-point-400-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketssouthpoint400winner, title = {South Point 400 Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/south-point-400-winner/}}HTML credit
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