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Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXLEADERMLBHR-26

As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Crow-Armstrong at 52%, followed by Kyle Schwarber at 48%, Nick Kurtz at 5.0%. 673.3K contracts have traded, 82.6K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Pete Crow-Armstrong52%
+17 pts50.8K37.8K
Kyle Schwarber48%
-15 pts122.0K73.3K
Nick Kurtz5.0%
·7.7K6.8K
Eugenio Suárez2.0%
·7.1K6.9K
Roman Anthony2.0%
·4.3K4.3K
Mike Trout2.0%
·1.7K1.4K
Bryce Harper2.0%
·1.4K1.4K
Mickey Moniak2.0%
·892892
Fernando Tatis Jr.2.0%
·697697
Shea Langeliers2.0%
·693689
Yordan Alvarez1.0%
·107.9K80.2K
Junior Caminero1.0%
-2 pts64.8K36.0K
Aaron Judge1.0%
·61.1K19.6K
Munetaka Murakami1.0%
·60.5K38.5K
Shohei Ohtani1.0%
·33.2K23.3K
Matt Olson1.0%
·29.0K14.7K
Ben Rice1.0%
·26.2K16.8K
James Wood1.0%
·21.8K15.5K
Pete Alonso1.0%
-1 pts18.4K12.8K
Cal Raleigh1.0%
·11.4K9.0K

13 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 29Sep 27

■ Pete Crow-Armstrong ■ Kyle Schwarber · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Aaron Judge leads Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical …”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Sports markets

More on this topic: MLB odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader?

As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Crow-Armstrong at 52%, followed by Kyle Schwarber at 48%, Nick Kurtz at 5.0%. 673.3K contracts have traded, 82.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader market close?

The listed close date is October 22, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 27). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-baseball-home-runs-leader/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsprobaseballhomerunsleader, title = {Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-27 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-baseball-home-runs-leader/}}

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