Snapshot September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXLEADERMLBHR-26
As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Crow-Armstrong at 52%, followed by Kyle Schwarber at 48%, Nick Kurtz at 5.0%. 673.3K contracts have traded, 82.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 52% | +17 pts | 50.8K | 37.8K |
| Kyle Schwarber | 48% | -15 pts | 122.0K | 73.3K |
| Nick Kurtz | 5.0% | · | 7.7K | 6.8K |
| Eugenio Suárez | 2.0% | · | 7.1K | 6.9K |
| Roman Anthony | 2.0% | · | 4.3K | 4.3K |
| Mike Trout | 2.0% | · | 1.7K | 1.4K |
| Bryce Harper | 2.0% | · | 1.4K | 1.4K |
| Mickey Moniak | 2.0% | · | 892 | 892 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2.0% | · | 697 | 697 |
| Shea Langeliers | 2.0% | · | 693 | 689 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 1.0% | · | 107.9K | 80.2K |
| Junior Caminero | 1.0% | -2 pts | 64.8K | 36.0K |
| Aaron Judge | 1.0% | · | 61.1K | 19.6K |
| Munetaka Murakami | 1.0% | · | 60.5K | 38.5K |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.0% | · | 33.2K | 23.3K |
| Matt Olson | 1.0% | · | 29.0K | 14.7K |
| Ben Rice | 1.0% | · | 26.2K | 16.8K |
| James Wood | 1.0% | · | 21.8K | 15.5K |
| Pete Alonso | 1.0% | -1 pts | 18.4K | 12.8K |
| Cal Raleigh | 1.0% | · | 11.4K | 9.0K |
13 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Pete Crow-Armstrong ■ Kyle Schwarber · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Aaron Judge leads Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: MLB odds on Kalshi
As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Pete Crow-Armstrong at 52%, followed by Kyle Schwarber at 48%, Nick Kurtz at 5.0%. 673.3K contracts have traded, 82.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 22, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/pro-baseball-home-runs-leader/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-baseball-home-runs-leader/">Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 27). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-baseball-home-runs-leader/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsprobaseballhomerunsleader, title = {Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-27 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/pro-baseball-home-runs-leader/}}HTML credit
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