Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXNASCARRACE-HOLC26
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Denny Hamlin at 18%, followed by Kyle Larson at 18%, Christopher Bell at 14%. 215.3K contracts have traded, 109.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 18% | · | 18.9K | 18.9K |
| Kyle Larson | 18% | · | 9.4K | 9.4K |
| Christopher Bell | 14% | · | 6.4K | 6.4K |
| Tyler Reddick | 12% | · | 12.4K | 12.3K |
| Chase Briscoe | 7.5% | +3 pts | 65.0K | 64.6K |
| Ryan Blaney | 7.5% | · | 4.3K | 4.2K |
| Ty Gibbs | 6.5% | · | 4.9K | 4.8K |
| Chase Elliott | 5.5% | -1 pts | 6.5K | 6.3K |
| Bubba Wallace | 5.0% | -1 pts | 20.7K | 20.5K |
| Carson Hocevar | 3.5% | +1 pts | 17.9K | 17.8K |
| Joey Logano | 3.5% | -1 pts | 7.9K | 7.9K |
| William Byron | 3.5% | -1 pts | 6.6K | 6.6K |
| Chris Buescher | 2.5% | · | 747 | 747 |
| Brad Keselowski | 1.5% | · | 16.2K | 16.2K |
| Ross Chastain | 1.5% | · | 1.2K | 1.2K |
| Alex Bowman | 1.5% | · | 919 | 919 |
| Austin Cindric | 1.5% | · | 120 | 120 |
| Josh Berry | 1.0% | · | 7.8K | 7.8K |
| Daniel Suárez | 1.0% | · | 2.9K | 2.9K |
| Erik Jones | 1.0% | · | 1.4K | 1.4K |
7 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Denny Hamlin ■ Kyle Larson ■ Christopher Bell · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Alex Bowman finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 Hollywood Casino 400 originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. If || Competitor || retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. If Alex Bowman retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Denny Hamlin at 18%, followed by Kyle Larson at 18%, Christopher Bell at 14%. 215.3K contracts have traded, 109.5K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 5, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
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Hollywood Casino 400 Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/hollywood-casino-400-winner/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketshollywoodcasino400winner, title = {Hollywood Casino 400 Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/hollywood-casino-400-winner/}}HTML credit
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