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Erling Haaland: Next Club: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02EHAALAND

As of September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Manchester City at 100%, followed by Barcelona at 2.0%, Real Madrid at 1.0%. 63.5K contracts have traded, 21.3K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Manchester City100%
·8.6K4.9K
Barcelona2.0%
·14.8K14.3K
Real Madrid1.0%
·25.3K14.7K
Arsenal1.0%
-1 pts5.8K5.0K
PSG1.0%
·1.6K819
Bayern Munich1.0%
·1.3K591
Manchester United1.0%
·1.2K591
Chelsea1.0%
·1.2K705
Atletico1.0%
·1.1K504
Tottenham1.0%
·895505
Liverpool1.0%
·889505
Newcastle1.0%
·888504

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 28Sep 22

■ Manchester City ■ Barcelona ■ Real Madrid · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Erling Haaland's next club is Real Madrid before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join Real Madrid, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Erling Haaland signs with a club and is immediately loaned out, the signing club resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No. The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland is loaned to Real Madrid (temporary transfer of registration). If Erling Haaland is currently signed to Real Madrid, the market resolves to Yes if re-signs or extends his contract with Real Madrid, or remains with the club without transferring. The market resolves to Yes if an official agreement is announced for Erling Haaland to join Real Madrid at a future date (e.g., a pre-contract or transfer effective in a future window). If Erling Haaland's current contract expires and …”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Erling Haaland: Next Club?

As of September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Manchester City at 100%, followed by Barcelona at 2.0%, Real Madrid at 1.0%. 63.5K contracts have traded, 21.3K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Erling Haaland: Next Club market close?

The listed close date is October 9, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Erling Haaland: Next Club: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/erling-haaland-next-club/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketserlinghaalandnextclub, title = {Erling Haaland: Next Club: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 19:55 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/erling-haaland-next-club/}}

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