Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Sports · Event KXATP-26TOKYO
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Carlos Alcaraz at 70%, followed by Valentin Vacherot at 23%, Denis Shapovalov at 13%. 67.3K contracts have traded, 18.4K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Carlos Alcaraz · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Carlos Alcaraz at 70%, followed by Valentin Vacherot at 23%, Denis Shapovalov at 13%. 67.3K contracts have traded, 18.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the ATP Tokyo Winner market close?
The listed close date is November 9, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/atp-tokyo-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="ATP Tokyo Winner Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/atp-tokyo-winner/">ATP Tokyo Winner odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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ATP Tokyo Winner: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/atp-tokyo-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsatptokyowinner, title = {ATP Tokyo Winner: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/atp-tokyo-winner/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
