{
  "version": "https://jsonfeed.org/version/1.1",
  "title": "Kalshi View — Politics & elections",
  "home_page_url": "https://kalshiview.com/",
  "feed_url": "https://kalshiview.com/feed-politics-and-elections.json",
  "description": "Kalshi View articles in the Politics & elections topic bucket. Bucketing rules are documented at https://kalshiview.com/api/.",
  "language": "en",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)",
  "authors": [
    {
      "name": "Kalshi View Editorial Team"
    }
  ],
  "items": [
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/when-will-the-2026-house-majority-be-called-election-night-kalshi/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/when-will-the-2026-house-majority-be-called-election-night-kalshi/",
      "title": "When Will the 2026 House Majority Be Called? Election Night Timeline and Kalshi Settlement Sources",
      "content_html": "<p>A House majority projection could arrive on election night, several days later, or after enough close races become clear. Traders should separate the timing of an Associated Press...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/when-will-the-2026-house-majority-be-called-election-night-kalshi/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "A House majority projection could arrive on election night, several days later, or after enough close races become clear. Traders should separate the timing of an Associated Press...",
      "date_published": "2026-09-16T05:54:52Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/december-11-2026-funding-cliff-kalshi-market-checks/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/december-11-2026-funding-cliff-kalshi-market-checks/",
      "title": "December 11, 2026 Funding Cliff: What the Continuing Resolution Covers and Kalshi Market Checks",
      "content_html": "<p>Federal funding deadlines require two separate checks. First, confirm what Congress passed and whether it became law. Second, read the exact Kalshi contract language, because a...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/december-11-2026-funding-cliff-kalshi-market-checks/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "Federal funding deadlines require two separate checks. First, confirm what Congress passed and whether it became law. Second, read the exact Kalshi contract language, because a...",
      "date_published": "2026-09-12T05:37:28Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/october-2026-shutdown-deadline-week-kalshi-market-check/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/october-2026-shutdown-deadline-week-kalshi-market-check/",
      "title": "October 2026 Shutdown Deadline Week: Final Funding Status and Kalshi Market Check",
      "content_html": "<p>The central question for traders is not whether Congress appears close to resolving the funding deadline. It is whether the legal and operational conditions in the Kalshi contract...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/october-2026-shutdown-deadline-week-kalshi-market-check/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "The central question for traders is not whether Congress appears close to resolving the funding deadline. It is whether the legal and operational conditions in the Kalshi contract...",
      "date_published": "2026-09-11T05:37:52Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/2026-midterm-election-calendar-and-kalshi-contract-checklist/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/2026-midterm-election-calendar-and-kalshi-contract-checklist/",
      "title": "2026 Midterm Election Calendar and Kalshi Contract Checklist",
      "content_html": "<p>The 2026 U.S. congressional general election is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. This 2026 midterm election calendar and Kalshi contract checklist separates that federal date from state...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/2026-midterm-election-calendar-and-kalshi-contract-checklist/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "The 2026 U.S. congressional general election is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. This 2026 midterm election calendar and Kalshi contract checklist separates that federal date from state...",
      "date_published": "2026-08-18T06:27:35Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/october-2026-government-shutdown-deadline/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/october-2026-government-shutdown-deadline/",
      "title": "October 2026 Government Shutdown Deadline: Fiscal Calendar, Funding Status and Kalshi Market Checks",
      "content_html": "<p>The October 2026 government shutdown deadline is a specific fiscal-calendar event, not a prediction that a shutdown will occur. Traders should separate the statutory funding...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/october-2026-government-shutdown-deadline/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "The October 2026 government shutdown deadline is a specific fiscal-calendar event, not a prediction that a shutdown will occur. Traders should separate the statutory funding...",
      "date_published": "2026-08-16T05:54:23Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/government-shutdown-probability-markets-kalshi/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/government-shutdown-probability-markets-kalshi/",
      "title": "Government Shutdown Markets on Kalshi: Source Checklist",
      "content_html": "<p>This static checklist explains how to verify a Kalshi government shutdown market&#x27;s live rules, official sources, deadlines, fees, and settlement wording.</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/government-shutdown-probability-markets-kalshi/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "This static checklist explains how to verify a Kalshi government shutdown market's live rules, official sources, deadlines, fees, and settlement wording.",
      "date_published": "2026-07-14T09:31:41Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/kash-patel-out-as-fbi-director-kalshi-market-july-2026/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/kash-patel-out-as-fbi-director-kalshi-market-july-2026/",
      "title": "Kash Patel out as FBI Director: How the Kalshi Market Is Pricing It (July 2026)",
      "content_html": "<p>When I see a political contract trading at 13 cents with three weeks until expiration, my first instinct is not to buy. It&#x27;s to figure out what would actually resolve the market...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/kash-patel-out-as-fbi-director-kalshi-market-july-2026/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "When I see a political contract trading at 13 cents with three weeks until expiration, my first instinct is not to buy. It's to figure out what would actually resolve the market...",
      "date_published": "2026-07-11T09:31:07Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/foreign-policy-on-kalshi-tariffs-sanctions-trade-deals/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/foreign-policy-on-kalshi-tariffs-sanctions-trade-deals/",
      "title": "Foreign Policy Kalshi Markets: Source Checklist",
      "content_html": "<p>This page is a static foreign-policy market checklist, not a live odds board or confirmation that any specific tariff, sanctions, or trade-deal contract is active...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/foreign-policy-on-kalshi-tariffs-sanctions-trade-deals/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "This page is a static foreign-policy market checklist, not a live odds board or confirmation that any specific tariff, sanctions, or trade-deal contract is active...",
      "date_published": "2026-07-01T09:34:39Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/supreme-court-ruling-markets-kalshi-how-they-work/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/supreme-court-ruling-markets-kalshi-how-they-work/",
      "title": "Supreme Court Kalshi Markets: Source Checklist",
      "content_html": "<p>This page is a static Supreme Court market checklist, not a live odds board or confirmation that any specific Court contract is active. Before trading, open...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/supreme-court-ruling-markets-kalshi-how-they-work/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "This page is a static Supreme Court market checklist, not a live odds board or confirmation that any specific Court contract is active. Before trading, open...",
      "date_published": "2026-06-28T09:35:15Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-markets-on-kalshi/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-markets-on-kalshi/",
      "title": "Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Markets on Kalshi?",
      "content_html": "<p>Kalshi&#x27;s policy bans war markets. This source-backed fact check separates a direct ceasefire outcome from adjacent contracts that only measure whether a speaker says the word.</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-markets-on-kalshi/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "Kalshi's policy bans war markets. This source-backed fact check separates a direct ceasefire outcome from adjacent contracts that only measure whether a speaker says the word.",
      "date_published": "2026-06-25T09:36:14Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/middle-east-conflict-markets-kalshi/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/middle-east-conflict-markets-kalshi/",
      "title": "Middle East Conflict Markets on Kalshi: Settlement Checklist",
      "content_html": "<p>This static settlement checklist explains how to read Middle East conflict markets on Kalshi, verify contract rules, compare source context, and avoid thin-market traps.</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/middle-east-conflict-markets-kalshi/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "This static settlement checklist explains how to read Middle East conflict markets on Kalshi, verify contract rules, compare source context, and avoid thin-market traps.",
      "date_published": "2026-06-21T09:36:31Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/2026-primary-election-markets-on-kalshi/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/2026-primary-election-markets-on-kalshi/",
      "title": "Kalshi Primaries 2026: Markets, Rules & Election Dates",
      "content_html": "<p>A source-backed guide to finding 2026 Kalshi primary markets, matching contract rules to official election dates, and checking runoff, recount, and certification risks.</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/2026-primary-election-markets-on-kalshi/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "A source-backed guide to finding 2026 Kalshi primary markets, matching contract rules to official election dates, and checking runoff, recount, and certification risks.",
      "date_published": "2026-06-20T09:31:49Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/trump-indictment-markets-kalshi-pricing-risk/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/trump-indictment-markets-kalshi-pricing-risk/",
      "title": "Trump Legal Event Markets on Kalshi: How to Read Settlement Risk",
      "content_html": "<p>This page is a static settlement-risk guide for Trump-related legal event markets, not a claim that a specific indictment contract is live right now. Current availability and prices must come from Kalshi directly.</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/trump-indictment-markets-kalshi-pricing-risk/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "This page is a static settlement-risk guide for Trump-related legal event markets, not a claim that a specific indictment contract is live right now. Current availability and prices must come from Kalshi directly.",
      "date_published": "2026-06-19T09:32:43Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/top-gubernatorial-races-kalshi-2026-cycle/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/top-gubernatorial-races-kalshi-2026-cycle/",
      "title": "Top Gubernatorial Races on Kalshi (2026 Cycle)",
      "content_html": "<p>When I&#x27;m sizing up a new political market, I start with the same question: what do I actually know that the price doesn&#x27;t reflect? For the 2026 gubernatorial cycle, that means...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/top-gubernatorial-races-kalshi-2026-cycle/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "When I'm sizing up a new political market, I start with the same question: what do I actually know that the price doesn't reflect? For the 2026 gubernatorial cycle, that means...",
      "date_published": "2026-06-18T09:32:06Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/when-will-traffic-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-kalshi-market-june-2026/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/when-will-traffic-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-kalshi-market-june-2026/",
      "title": "When Will Traffic at the Strait of Hormuz Return to Normal: How the Kalshi Market Is Pricing It (June 2026)",
      "content_html": "<p>I spend a lot of time thinking about geopolitical chokepoints, probably more than is healthy. When Kalshi listed a market on Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic, I had to look at...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/when-will-traffic-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-kalshi-market-june-2026/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "I spend a lot of time thinking about geopolitical chokepoints, probably more than is healthy. When Kalshi listed a market on Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic, I had to look at...",
      "date_published": "2026-06-17T09:31:25Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/house-of-representatives-2026-markets-kalshi/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/house-of-representatives-2026-markets-kalshi/",
      "title": "House of Representatives 2026 Markets on Kalshi",
      "content_html": "<p>Every midterm cycle, I find myself staring at the same question: which party controls the House after the dust settles? In 2024, I watched political prediction markets swing...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/house-of-representatives-2026-markets-kalshi/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "Every midterm cycle, I find myself staring at the same question: which party controls the House after the dust settles? In 2024, I watched political prediction markets swing...",
      "date_published": "2026-06-16T09:31:48Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/election-2026-senate-control-probability-tracker-kalshi/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/election-2026-senate-control-probability-tracker-kalshi/",
      "title": "2026 Midterm Election Markets on Kalshi: Source Checklist",
      "content_html": "<p>A static source checklist for the November 3 federal election, live Kalshi market wording, control definitions, settlement sources, deadlines, and fees.</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/election-2026-senate-control-probability-tracker-kalshi/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "A static source checklist for the November 3 federal election, live Kalshi market wording, control definitions, settlement sources, deadlines, and fees.",
      "date_published": "2026-06-15T09:31:55Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/why-kalshi-beats-traditional-polling-for-election-forecasts/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/why-kalshi-beats-traditional-polling-for-election-forecasts/",
      "title": "Where Kalshi Can Beat Traditional Polling for Election Forecasts",
      "content_html": "<p>During the 2024 election cycle, polling narratives and Kalshi congressional control prices at times told two different stories. The polls were useful, but market prices were updating faster as traders...</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/why-kalshi-beats-traditional-polling-for-election-forecasts/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "During the 2024 election cycle, polling narratives and Kalshi congressional control prices at times told two different stories. The polls were useful, but market prices were updating faster as traders...",
      "date_published": "2026-05-31T09:31:11Z"
    },
    {
      "id": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/kalshi-election-markets-2024-accuracy/",
      "url": "https://kalshiview.com/blog/kalshi-election-markets-2024-accuracy/",
      "title": "Kalshi 2024 Election Accuracy: Data Audit",
      "content_html": "<p>A reproducible audit of eight exact Kalshi contracts at 7:00 a.m. ET on Election Day, with raw historical trades, official outcomes, scoring limits, and downloadable JSON.</p><p><a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/blog/kalshi-election-markets-2024-accuracy/\">Source: kalshiview.com</a> · CC BY 4.0 · Reuse requires a visible link to the original page</p>",
      "summary": "A reproducible audit of eight exact Kalshi contracts at 7:00 a.m. ET on Election Day, with raw historical trades, official outcomes, scoring limits, and downloadable JSON.",
      "date_published": "2026-05-06T09:31:00Z"
    }
  ]
}