{
 "slug": "fed-decision-in-dec-2026",
 "event_ticker": "KXFEDDECISION-26DEC",
 "series_ticker": "KXFEDDECISION",
 "title": "Fed decision in Dec 2026?",
 "category": "Economics",
 "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-decision-in-dec-2026/",
 "kalshi_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision",
 "updated": "2026-09-24T11:56:18+00:00",
 "closed": false,
 "volume_contracts": 516185.41,
 "volume_24h_contracts": 34443.22,
 "open_interest_contracts": 393316.65,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Hike 25bps",
   "ticker": "KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-H25",
   "probability": 0.705,
   "change_24h": 0.05,
   "volume_contracts": 131439.94,
   "open_interest_contracts": 94659.58,
   "close_time": "2026-12-09T18:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "Fed maintains rate",
   "ticker": "KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-H0",
   "probability": 0.235,
   "change_24h": -0.03,
   "volume_contracts": 123405.76,
   "open_interest_contracts": 94587.66,
   "close_time": "2026-12-09T18:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "Hike >25bps",
   "ticker": "KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-H26",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_contracts": 117551.76,
   "open_interest_contracts": 90730.6,
   "close_time": "2026-12-09T18:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "Cut 25bps",
   "ticker": "KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-C25",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_contracts": 88700.7,
   "open_interest_contracts": 66589.86,
   "close_time": "2026-12-09T18:59:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "Cut >25bps",
   "ticker": "KXFEDDECISION-26DEC-C26",
   "probability": 0.01,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 55087.25,
   "open_interest_contracts": 46748.95,
   "close_time": "2026-12-09T18:59:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "Hike 25bps": [
   [
    1787716800,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1787803200,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1787889600,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1787976000,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788062400,
    0.51
   ],
   [
    1788148800,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1788235200,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1788321600,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1788408000,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1788580800,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1788667200,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1788753600,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1788926400,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1789099200,
    0.55
   ],
   [
    1789185600,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1789272000,
    0.59
   ],
   [
    1789358400,
    0.6
   ],
   [
    1789444800,
    0.58
   ],
   [
    1789531200,
    0.64
   ],
   [
    1789617600,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1789704000,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1789790400,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1789876800,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1789963200,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1790049600,
    0.67
   ],
   [
    1790136000,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1790222400,
    0.69
   ]
  ],
  "Fed maintains rate": [
   [
    1787716800,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1787803200,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1787889600,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1787976000,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1788062400,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788148800,
    0.47
   ],
   [
    1788235200,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788321600,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788408000,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788494400,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788580800,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788667200,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788753600,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1788840000,
    0.48
   ],
   [
    1788926400,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789012800,
    0.49
   ],
   [
    1789099200,
    0.39
   ],
   [
    1789185600,
    0.44
   ],
   [
    1789272000,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1789358400,
    0.43
   ],
   [
    1789444800,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1789531200,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1789617600,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789704000,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789790400,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1789876800,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1789963200,
    0.31
   ],
   [
    1790049600,
    0.29
   ],
   [
    1790136000,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790222400,
    0.28
   ]
  ],
  "Hike >25bps": [
   [
    1787976000,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1788062400,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1788235200,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1788494400,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1788580800,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1789012800,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789099200,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789185600,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789272000,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789358400,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789444800,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1789531200,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1789617600,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1789704000,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1789790400,
    0.02
   ],
   [
    1789963200,
    0.03
   ],
   [
    1790049600,
    0.01
   ],
   [
    1790222400,
    0.02
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: Kalshi View (kalshiview.com)",
  "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-decision-in-dec-2026/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-decision-in-dec-2026/\">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>"
 },
 "source": "Kalshi public trade API; Kalshi View is not affiliated with Kalshi. Verify on Kalshi before trading."
}