{
 "slug": "ai-capability-growth-this-year",
 "event_ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27",
 "series_ticker": "KXAISPIKE",
 "title": "AI capability growth this year?",
 "category": "Science and Technology",
 "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/ai-capability-growth-this-year/",
 "kalshi_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaispike",
 "updated": "2026-09-30T23:20:00+00:00",
 "closed": false,
 "volume_contracts": 236757.31,
 "volume_24h_contracts": 41849.37,
 "open_interest_contracts": 72057.5,
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "At least 1520 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27B-1520",
   "probability": 0.985,
   "change_24h": 0.3,
   "volume_contracts": 128113.58,
   "open_interest_contracts": 30431.1,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1530 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27B-1530",
   "probability": 0.97,
   "change_24h": 0.64,
   "volume_contracts": 23199.23,
   "open_interest_contracts": 9725.15,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1540 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27B-1540",
   "probability": 0.395,
   "change_24h": 0.37,
   "volume_contracts": 5740.32,
   "open_interest_contracts": 3438.67,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1550 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1550",
   "probability": 0.145,
   "change_24h": 0.01,
   "volume_contracts": 51279.55,
   "open_interest_contracts": 16841.72,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1600 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1600",
   "probability": 0.035,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 19705.1,
   "open_interest_contracts": 6420.66,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1650 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1650",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": -0.04,
   "volume_contracts": 4668.96,
   "open_interest_contracts": 2166.63,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1750 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1750",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 2741.0,
   "open_interest_contracts": 2358.0,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  },
  {
   "name": "At least 1700 score",
   "ticker": "KXAISPIKE-27-1700",
   "probability": 0.015,
   "change_24h": 0.0,
   "volume_contracts": 1309.57,
   "open_interest_contracts": 675.57,
   "close_time": "2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00"
  }
 ],
 "history": {
  "At least 1520 score": [
   [
    1788235200,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1788408000,
    0.81
   ],
   [
    1788494400,
    0.77
   ],
   [
    1788580800,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1788667200,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1788753600,
    0.62
   ],
   [
    1788840000,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1788926400,
    0.66
   ],
   [
    1789099200,
    0.7
   ],
   [
    1789185600,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1789272000,
    0.68
   ],
   [
    1789358400,
    0.63
   ],
   [
    1789444800,
    0.61
   ],
   [
    1789531200,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1789617600,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1789704000,
    0.54
   ],
   [
    1789876800,
    0.32
   ],
   [
    1790049600,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1790136000,
    0.52
   ],
   [
    1790222400,
    0.5
   ],
   [
    1790308800,
    0.53
   ],
   [
    1790395200,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1790481600,
    0.74
   ],
   [
    1790654400,
    0.65
   ],
   [
    1790740800,
    0.71
   ]
  ],
  "At least 1530 score": [
   [
    1788235200,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788321600,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1788408000,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1788494400,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788580800,
    0.45
   ],
   [
    1788667200,
    0.42
   ],
   [
    1788840000,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1788926400,
    0.41
   ],
   [
    1789099200,
    0.37
   ],
   [
    1789185600,
    0.34
   ],
   [
    1789444800,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1789617600,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789704000,
    0.24
   ],
   [
    1789876800,
    0.26
   ],
   [
    1790222400,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1790308800,
    0.2
   ],
   [
    1790395200,
    0.28
   ],
   [
    1790481600,
    0.3
   ],
   [
    1790654400,
    0.36
   ],
   [
    1790740800,
    0.36
   ]
  ],
  "At least 1540 score": [
   [
    1788408000,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1788494400,
    0.27
   ],
   [
    1788580800,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788667200,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788840000,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1788926400,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789358400,
    0.25
   ],
   [
    1789444800,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1789531200,
    0.16
   ],
   [
    1789617600,
    0.22
   ],
   [
    1789704000,
    0.21
   ],
   [
    1790568000,
    0.18
   ]
  ]
 },
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "attribution": {
  "required": true,
  "text": "Odds data: Kalshi View (kalshiview.com)",
  "url": "https://kalshiview.com/markets/ai-capability-growth-this-year/",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://kalshiview.com/markets/ai-capability-growth-this-year/\">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>"
 },
 "source": "Kalshi public trade API; Kalshi View is not affiliated with Kalshi. Verify on Kalshi before trading."
}